count myself king of infinite space

August 19th, 2008

http://www.informaworld.com/smpp/content…

Dream content studies have revealed that dream experiences are negatively biased; negative dream contents are more frequent than corresponding positive dream contents. It is unclear, however, whether the bias is real or due to biased sampling, i.e., selective memory for intense negative emotions. The threat simulation theory (TST) claims that the negativity bias is real and reflects the evolved biological function of dreaming.

This explains why, last night, I was over in China setting up a distribution center for HeavyInk, and accidentally hired a development team who didn’t speak the same language as me, and why the air was full of smoke, and why the contract for the warehouse space ran 15 years.

halitosis

August 19th, 2008

I’m Godzilla!


King of all lizards! Well, guys in rubber lizard suits. Let’s forget all about the crappy American remake, okay?

Take the Which Japanese movie monster are you? Quiz at HeavyInk.com

John McCain doesn’t like how I entertain myself

August 19th, 2008

http://volokh.com/posts/1219115407.shtml

From today’s JohnMcCain.com blog: “It may be typical of the pro-Obama Dungeons & Dragons crowd to disparage a fellow countryman’s memory of war from the comfort of mom’s basement…”

The McCain campaign is correct in wanting to rebut an ugly smear from the Daily Kos. But why drag “the Dungeons and Dragons crowd” into it?

So first McCain goes off on MMA a few years back.

Now he’s dissing D&D.

Next up … he laughs at Heinlein and Niven ?

The Wire

August 18th, 2008

I watched season five (the final season) of The Wire recently.

I thought the series had some week parts (seasons three and four had bathetic, overwritten bits, and contained a few too many set pieces delivered from atop a soapbox for my taste), but the real excellent seasons 1,2, and 5, combined with the slightly weaker, but still good season 3 and 4 add up to a really really really impressive body of work.

I’ve enjoyed other series more (Firefly, The Sopranos, etc.) because they were formulaic and episodic, and we monkeys like our formulas, but I think that The Wire is going to have some real staying power.

Well done.

great moments in defensive technology / economics

August 18th, 2008

http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/CoyoteBlo…

Apparently, 3-1/2 miles of new border wall near San Diego will cost at least $57 million, or $16.3 million a mile (or a bit over $3000 per foot). For comparison, the 350 mile long Maginot line cost France about $150 million in the 1930s, or about $2.3 Billion in today’s dollars. This puts the cost of the Maginot line, underground tunnels, bunkers, gun emplacements, and all, at $6.5 million current dollars per mile. Of course, the Maginot line was not built as a continuous wall to catch individual infiltrators, but on the other hand the San Diego wall is (presumably) not being built 30 kilometers deep with layered emplacements to handle massed tank and artillery attacks.

Two more differences:

The Maginot line was built to defend against an enemy.

It wasn’t done by unionized labor in an election year.

In this country if you work, nothing’s impossible

August 18th, 2008

http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/instapund…

IN KNOXVILLE, SOME NEW U.S. CITIZENS who know things others don’t:

One couple came here after escaping from a country that’â%Gâ?¬%@?s about a hundred miles away on the map, but light years away politically.

Friday was the day Olga Alveres has been waiting on for decades.

“So happy. So happy.”

The native Cuban is now a naturalized U.S. Citizen. Her husband, Roberto, took the same oath last year. A huge moment for anyone, but for a man who escaped from Cuba after spending six years as a political prisoner, being an American family means everything.

Roberto Alveres says, “In this country if you work, nothing’s impossible.”

It’s funny how many Americans who were born in Cuba, and Germany, and Italy, and Somalia and Vietnam think that.

It’s funny how many Americans who were born in America don’t think that.

free stuff

August 17th, 2008

My trash - your treasure ?

In front of TJICistan until Friday morning:

  • A fiberglass ramp for loading motorcycles into pickup trucks. Never been used.
  • Five sheets of rigid foam insulation in great condition.
  • Five pieces of cement board in great condition.
  • A small grey metal base, with drawers, for an Atlas milling machine.
  • Four metal brackets for making sawhorses.
  • Four boxes of white bathroom tile.
  • One box of black bathroom tile edging.
  • A section of plastic gutter.
  • Miscellaneous bits of hardware, plumbing, electrical, etc. supplies.
  • Scraps of rug, rug padding, chicken wire.
  • Lots more crap awesome stuff.
  • Also available: 2-4 flight cases for CRT monitors.

Nothing will be held. Everything in as-is condition. Don’t knock on the door to ask questions, or ask for help loading. First come, first serve. Don’t spread the stuff around - keep the pile intact.

Do not repost to craigslist, freecycle, or any other places where hippies and “freegans” congregate.

Side effects may include dry skin, a hacking cough, and or painful rectal itch.

Two plans for how to make cities better: theirs, and mine

August 17th, 2008

http://www.boingboing.net/2008/08/15/pub…

A new group of activists in Toronto, the Public Squares, coordinated the temporary conversion of the intersection of Bloor and Spadina into a piazza with trees, fountain and dozens of revellers. From the group:

Five years ago the lights went out on some 100 million people. We spilled out of our home-box, work-box, shopping and car boxes. We stepped away from computers, microwaves and TV’s. The streets became our living rooms as we shared the good company of friends and strangers alike. We rediscovered the power and vitality of the commons. Last night’s temporary reclamation of Bloor & Spadina is a festive demonstration of how our city could evolve.

Oh, Lordie.

This sort of thing makes me want to walk around Cambridge with a backpack full of hacky sacks. Everytime I’d see a hippie, I’d toss him a hacky sack…and when his eyes were on it, I’d kick him in the not-so-hacky sack, hard, and move on to the next one.

conversation at Starbucks

August 17th, 2008

Dude in Che shirt: < waiting for coffee >

TJIC: Did you know that Che hated blacks and gays? And, also, he murdered a lot of people?

Dude: Uh…there are lots of opinions.

TJIC: True. There are also some facts.

I never heard the term “c*cksteaks” before

August 17th, 2008

I started a company.

It was the right choice for me.

You like working for someone else?

Great!

That’s probably the right choice for you.

The same rant above, but dressed up with more humor, and salty language here. Worth reading.

Two things I did not know this morning

August 16th, 2008

http://www.idiotsdelight.net/description…

Spider a challenging (and time-consuming) [ solitaire ] game using two decks which was supposedly the favorite … of FDR.

Just think: if FDR spent more time reading the Constitution, and less time wasting time, we might not live in a socialist country…

Also:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ace_of_Spad…

The ornate design of the Ace of Spades, common in packs today, stems from the 18th century, when certain duties on playing cards were exacted by the monarchy…

Over the years a number of methods were used to show that duty had been paid. From 1712 onwards, one of the cards in the pack, usually the Ace of Spades, was marked with a hand stamp. In 1765 hand stamping was replaced by the printing of official Ace of Spades by the Stamp Office, incorporating the royal coat of arms. In 1828 the Duty Ace of Spades (known as ‘Old Frizzle’) was printed to indicate a reduced duty of a shilling had been paid.

“Old Frizzle”.

Amazing.

this man delivered more educational value today than most social workers do in their entire careers

August 16th, 2008

http://www.overheardinnewyork.com/archiv…

Blue-haired hipster: Dude, could you spare some change? I just need a dollar to get somethin’ off the dollar menu at McDonald’s.

Yuppie: Dude, !@#$ you! You’re not hungry! If you were hungry you wouldn’t be dying your hair blue.

Perfectly said.

I wish I had the stones to heckle bums and beggars.

Because, honestly, they need to hear the truth.

The Masters of the Fryolator

August 16th, 2008

Jane Galt writes on The Masters of the Fryolator, a term for the situation in which employers try to train employees to be hyper-specialized, and then reward the very very best of them, and throw the rest (no longer good at much else), out on to the street.

The point is illustrated with the example of downsized Wall Street “Masters of the Universe” traders.

When I was a kid, doctors, lawyers, and traders were all perceived to make obscene amounts of money.

I note that there has been downard salary pressure on large segments of all three professions over the last twenty or thirty years, even if the average compensation remains flat or grows.

I think three things are going on:

Information technologies make it easier to detect who is the best (…and who is worst).

Cultural trends have (further) legitimized competition, elitism, and large compensation packages.

It has gotten easier to create value (and get highly compensated for it) in arenas outside of the Big Three, leading some high achievers who might have previously gone into one of the big three to go elsewhere … thus removing some of the middle from, and further bifurcating, the populations of the big three.

Interesting times.

same old anti-freedom drivel

August 16th, 2008

http://www.boston.com/bostonglobe/editor…

A DANGEROUS “gun show loophole” continues to allow criminals and terrorists to legally buy and sell guns in the United States on a cash-and-carry, no-questions-asked basis.

A free burrito to the first person to identify a terrorist who used the “gun show loophole” to purchase a gun in the US that he later used in a terrorist attack.

if I drank

August 16th, 2008

I would definitely try baconated bourbon.

to-do.txt

August 16th, 2008

I finished my work around 8:30 pm, got my email down to 0.0 messages around 9:30 and departed.

< insert Nixon-y jowl flapping noises here >

Brrrrrruuugh!

It’s been a long week.

Bedtime.

Only those earning the highest incomes benefited from gains in technology, productivity, and globalization,

August 15th, 2008

http://www.boston.com/business/articles/…

The gap between rich and poor has widened substantially in Massachusetts over the past two decades, according to a new study by the University of Massachusetts. Only those earning the highest incomes benefited from gains in technology, productivity, and globalization,

Someone please tell this to my $10/hour fulfillment folks, who listen to iPods, talk on cellphones, and surf youtube during their lunch breaks.

“Our economy remains very productive, but it shares the gains with only a small slice,” said Rebecca Loveland, a coauthor of the study and research manager at the UMass Donahue Institute, a research and economic development unit of the university.

“It” “shares” “the gains” ?

Huh?

Look, “our” economy did not become larger, and then “decide” where to allocate the profits.

Certain individuals started creating more value, and they then took home some (but not all) of that increase in value in their paychecks.

Period.

End of story.

That, plus the fact that income quintiles are as much about individuals moving through the quintiles as they age, as they are about different people each in separate quintiles, and this becomes another non-story that’s obfuscated in very specific ways in order to generate very specific policy proposals.

…proposals which, in enacted, would slash the standards of living of everyone.

As highly paid, highly skilled workers spend, prices can rise across the board, putting most of the squeeze on lower-income groups.

Prices for everyone have deflated over the last two decades, but for the poor especially, thanks to globalization, Wal-mart, etc.

When the rich bid up the price of a piece of art, or a lot on Martha’s Vineyard, this really isn’t affecting the price that the poor pay for a 24 pack of muffins at the Wal-Mart bakery, or six pounds of ground beef and a 50 pound sack of rice.

…however, things like government ethanol programs, wasteful spending on New Orleans “victims”, etc. certainly are helping to raise prices on the things that the poor buy.

Annette Jones, 60, of Dorchester, earns $25,000 a year as a receptionist, but had to pay more than $1,500 a month to get an apartment big enough for her and two children. Her 18-year-old daughter is autistic and receives disability payments, which helps Jones make ends meet.

But that’s getting harder to do, Jones said. A divorced single mother…

Questions:

  • who initiated the divorce?
  • has she looked for a job in a new location, where rents are cheaper?
  • what new skills has she taught herself over the last four years to help her get a higher paid job?

She’s squeezed her food budget by buying in bulk, has cut out roller skating trips with her children, and expects another winter with the thermostat set no higher than 65 degrees.

Oh, boo hoo.

This is basically my childhood, which was basically middle class and basically pleasant: house always a bit cool with kids wearing sweaters, very very few thrills (we got a take-out pizza perhaps twice a year, and began eating one meal out at restaurants per year when I was about 13), etc.

“Everything is going up except my paycheck,” she said.

That, and her creation of value, which is likewise identical to what it was five years ago.

and…hey, wait! … these two facts are not unconnected.

Certainly, said Loveland, many people move up the income ladder, but it’s unlikely income mobility has increased as fast as inequality. Those at the bottom also have much further to go.

In 1979, for example, the inflation-adjusted median income for the bottom 20 percent was about $21,000, compared to $130,000 for the top 20 percent, a difference of $109,000, according to the UMass study. By 2006, the gap had grown to $156,000 as earnings at the top of income scale grew to about $176,000, but fell to $20,000 at the bottom.

Oh noz!

Inequality is “worse” because … wait for it … incomes of $176,000 are now available not just to the top 5% of the population, but to the top 20% of the population.

Seriously, think about that:

Imagine if one person in a thousand has a private spaceship. Meaning that the top 200 people have, on average, 1/200th of a spaceship each.

Then, because of hard work, technological change, etc., we get to the point where 200 people in a thousand have private spaceships. Meaning that the top 200 people have, on average, 1 private spaceship each.

According to the academic Loveland, this is horrible because inequality has just gotten worse: the gap between the bottom 80%, who have 0.0 spaceships, and the top quintile has grown from a delta of 0.005 spaceships by a factor of 200 to a huge gap of 1.0 spaceships.

Idjit.

Andrew Sum, director of the Center for Labor Market Studies at Northeastern University, said there’s increasing danger the gap will widen.

Why is a gap of, say $80k/year between top and bottom quintiles perfect, and a gap of $150k/year not so good, and a gap of $250k/year horrible?

It seems to me that the ideal might be a gap of $1 million per year: the bottom quintile are free to not work at all, and get all the protein pap they want out of a dispenser, and all of the information-pap they want from the MSM, while at the high end, the top quintile produces $1 million of value per year.

Why is that a danger?

Of particular concern, he said, is the increase in the number of single-parent households

Who creates single-parent households?

Does the government go around at gun point forcing families to divorce, and/or forcing single women to have sex with out birth control, have kids, and keep them?

No.

Every single parent household is created by at least one decision of the principles involved, often more.

which typically earn much less than those with two parents and have a far more difficult time moving up the ladder.

Oh, boo hoo.

This is like saying that “inequality in driving outcomes has increased over the last two decades, because of the number of drivers who don’t wear seat belts and clutch steak knives to their throats as they do 70 mph down residential streets … and this inequality must be addressed by government programs that take cash from the families of those who drive safely and redistributing it to those who drive with steak knives”.

Look, here’s a radical idea:

don’t do that.

Don’t drive with steak knives held to your throat.

Don’t get pregnant outside of marriage.

Don’t get divorced.

Don’t stagnate in your job.

Always be learning.

Always be growing.

Always aspire to be richer than you are.

…which means aspiring to be more productive.

Ask your boss “how can I deliver more value here, so that I’m worth more money”.

If he doesn’t have a compelling answer, go ask someone who is not yet your boss “how could I deliver more value here, if I hopped?”

Gah.

This isn’t rocket science.

I hate popcorn.

August 15th, 2008

http://blog.wired.com/defense/2008/08/wi…

Boeing announced today the first ever test firing of a real-life ray gun that could become US special forces’ way to carry out covert strikes with “plausible deniability.”

In tests earlier this month at Kirtland Air Force Base, New Mexico, Boeing’s Advanced Tactical Laser — a modified C-130H aircraft — “fired its high-energy chemical laser through its beam control system. The beam control system acquired a ground target and guided the laser beam to the target, as directed by ATL’s battle management system.”

Time to warm up the DVD player and put on my bunnie slippers.

(subject line hattip)

idiotic ideas that will get you failed out of business school and/or elected to another term in city government

August 14th, 2008

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/08/14/us/14s…

Downtowns Across the U.S. See Streetcars in Their Future

Of course they do.

They’re expensive, ineffective, and funnel cash and power into the hands of politicians and the politically connected.

Cincinnati officials are assembling financing for a $132 million system that would connect the city’s riverfront stadiums, downtown business district and Uptown neighborhoods, which include six hospitals and the University of Cincinnati, in a six- to eight-mile loop. Depending on the final financing package, fares may be free, 50 cents or $1.

If it’s projected at $132 mill now, it will come in somewhere between two and four times that, or $260-$500 million.

If it’s projected at 6-8 miles, it will come in at 3-5 miles.

In the best possible case, it will cost $52 mill / mile or $1,000 per inch.

In the worst case (at least the worst case contemplated here, but I have faith in government to screw up even beyond that), it will cost $166 mill / mile, or $2,600 k per inch.

Modern streetcars, like those Cincinnati plans to use, cost about $3 million each, run on an overhead electrical wire and carry up to 130 passengers per car

Let’s say that they’ve got 5 trolleys in operation, and that each trolley runs 12 hours a day (but only 8 hours after figuring in breaks for conductors, etc.) at an average speed of 15 miles per hour (because of stops every block or three), we get each trolly doing the loop every 15 minutes, or a trolley every three minutes.

This also gives us a potential of 600 trolley miles per day. We could multiply that by 130 passengers per car, but looking around at local service (like the Burlington “B line”, the Lexington “Lexpress”, etc.), I see usage often at zero point zero, and sometimes as high as 10%. Let’s be wildly generous and give Cincinnati a 15% usage rate, and now we’re getting 11,700 passenger miles per day.

With each ride being 50 cents, we’re taking in revenue of $6k per day, and paying 10 conductors (5 to drive, and 5 spares), and 20 maintenance workers, 20 bureaucrats, an advertising agency, a pension plan, a health plan, and depreciation on 5 $3 million trolleys.

Count the conductors and maintenance workers at $50k salaries, and boost that to $100k each for health, pension, overtime, overhead, etc. Double that for each of the bureaucrats. We’re spending $7k per day on labor.

Depreciation on the trolleys (using a 10 year lifespan) is $6k per day.

Depreciation and materials for repairs on the track and infrastructure might be the same.

If my truck would burn 20 gallons of gas with a day of driving, these trolleys are going to use the equivalent of 50 gallons or so of fuel each day. Call that another $1k in fuel expenses. Per day.

Suddenly we’re at $6k of revenue and $15k of expenses, and we haven’t even put anyone’s mistress on the payroll, sent any of the government officials on fact finding missions to New York or London to see how they do things, had any catered lunches with consultants or community groups, etc.

Boost the ticket price to the upper suggested limit ($1 per trip), and we’re still running $3k in the hole every day.

I don’t know about where you work, but I’ve never been involved in running anything that could survive that for long.

On the other hand, I don’t have the “legal” power to confiscate wealth from anyone I want to fund my losses.

since streetcars can pick up passengers on either side, they can make shorter stops than buses.

So:

a) trolleys are going to stop in traffic and people are going to get on from both sides…including the “in traffic” side?

b) even if we decide that this is a good idea, it’s entirely impossible to engineer a bus that does this, and the only possible way to put a door on both sides of a vehicle is to spend well north of $100 million to rip up 6-8 miles of road and install tracks?

In invoke Coyote’s Law of Mass Transit Bullshit: you could buy every single person who will regularly use this boondoggle their own personal Prius, and you’d not only use less energy, you’d spend a hell of a lot less money doing it.

home alone

August 14th, 2008

From time to time the papers report on some DSS case where a parent leaves a child home alone.

Now, clearly, leaving a four year old alone overnight while you shoot heroin isn’t cool.

…but leaving a seven year old alone for 12 minutes while you run to the corner to buy a gallon of milk seems fine to me.

…as does the case, here in Boston a few years back, where a European mom put her baby carriage just outside a cafe window, and then sat 10 inches away, on the other side of the glass.

One thing that’s always troubled me by the news coverage is that there is never a definition by the government of what will and will not get your children taken away from you.

Today I read the state of the law (at least in NYC):

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/08/14/nyregi…

…”There’s no definition,” said Sharman Stein, a spokeswoman for the New York City Administration for Children’s Services. “There are child-safety experts who believe some 10-year-olds are quite O.K. alone and others who would tell you that there are some 14-year-olds they wouldn’t leave alone.”…

Obviously some minor degree of interpretation needs to exist - you don’t want to set the leave-alone cut-off at 8 years, and then prosecute someone who left their 7 year, 11.9 month old kid for 15 minutes as they ran outside to help pull a victim from a burning car wreck.

…but having no definition seems entirely unacceptable to me as well. It turns things into a guessing game, where an overzealous DSS worker, or a deeply unlucky parent can cause a kid to be stolen by the State for no good reason.

Selective prosecution stinks.

…and given that the state doesn’t even have to prosecute you for a crime to steal your kid, and given the fact that social workers are running the show…

< shudder >